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Fritz vs. Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Odds to Win Citi Open


In the Round of 16 at the Citi Open on Thursday, Matteo Arnaldi (ranked No. 44) faces Taylor Fritz (No. 4).

Fritz is favored (-625) against Arnaldi (+400) in this Round of 16 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Taylor Fritz vs. Matteo Arnaldi matchup info

  • Tournament: Citi Open
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Thursday, July 24
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Fritz vs. Arnaldi Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Fritz has an 86.2% to win.

Fritz vs. Arnaldi Betting Odds

  • Fritz’s odds to win match: -625
  • Arnaldi’s odds to win match: +400
  • Fritz’s odds to win tournament: +275
  • Arnaldi’s odds to win tournament: +3300

Fritz vs. Arnaldi matchup performance & stats

  • In five hard-court tournaments so far this year, Fritz has a record of 10-5.
  • Fritz has an 86.4% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 27.3% winning percentage in return games (172 of 199 service games, and 51 of 187 return games).
  • Fritz has won 45.6% of break points on hard courts (47 out of 103, which ranks 12th).
  • In his last tournament (Wimbledon), Fritz made a run before losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals 4-6, 7-5, 3-6, 6-7 on July 11.
  • Arnaldi has gone 9-6 in seven tournaments on hard courts so far this year.
  • On hard courts, Arnaldi has won 74.6% of his service games and 27.0% of his return games.
  • Including hard courts only, Arnaldi has converted 36.1% of his break-point opportunities (43 of 119).
  • In his last tournament (Wimbledon) on June 30, Arnaldi played Botic Van de Zandschulp in the Round of 128 and was eliminated 6-7, 6-7, 4-6.



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