Hurricane season – Geocolor image in the eye of a hurricane – Courtesy: Shutterstock – Image by Trong Nguyen
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) annual forecast, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which starts on June 1 and lasts until November 30, will bring above-normal storm activity to Floridians.
According to NOAA, the agency is forecasting 13 to 19 named storms with maximum sustained winds of 39 mph or higher, including three to five major hurricanes (Category 3+) with winds of 111 mph or higher and six to ten hurricanes with winds of 74 mph.
Colorado State University hurricane researchers, who last month forecasted 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes, four of which were Category 3 or higher, concur with the NOAA prognosis.
The National Hurricane Center, located in Miami, and the National Weather Service are both under the auspices of NOAA.
The CSU researchers and NOAA both based their forecasts on a number of factors:
This year, El Nina or El Nino currents are not expected to have the same impact on storms as they would in a typical year.
According to CSU researchers, ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic Ocean are usually warmer than average, “but not as warm as they were last year at this time.”
Long-range forecasts show that this year’s wind-shear conditions, which impede the formation of hurricanes, are weak.
NOAA warned of the possibility of increased activity from the West African Monsoon, which is a major precursor to Atlantic hurricanes.
In a statement released at the start of the Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA forecasters stated that “all of these elements tend to favor tropical storm formation.”
Officially, the Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. There are often one or two early storms in late June in Florida, followed by a calm until the second half of August, when activity starts to increase.
Eleven hurricanes occurred in 2024, five of which were significant storms with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. Debby, Helene, and Milton (seen above) were three of those powerful hurricanes that hit Florida and left behind significant devastation. There were eighteen named storms in the 2024 season.
“This forecast serves as a reminder to be ready,” stated Ken Graham, the director of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “Be prepared before a storm threatens by taking proactive measures now to create a plan and gather supplies.”
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Born and raised in South Florida, Krystal is a recent graduate from the University of Miami with professional writing experience at the collegiate and national news outlet levels. She’s a foodie who loves all things travel, the beach, & visiting new places throughout Florida.
