The remaining U.S. Open quarterfinal spots will be handed out on Monday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Felix Auger-Aliassime. Alex de Minaur continues his campaign against qualifier Leandro Riedi.
(25) Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. (15) Andrey Rublev
In terms of both the entertainment factor and the stakes, this is the must-watch match of the entire U.S. Open fourth round. Reaching the quarterfinals would be a big result for either Rublev or Auger-Aliassime, and whoever wins will also have a real chance to secure a semifinal spot at the expense of Alex de Minaur or Leandro Riedi. On paper it is a relatively even matchup–except for one statistic: the head-to-head. Rublev has won seven of their eight previous encounters, including five in a row since his lone loss to Auger-Aliassime on the indoor hard courts of Rotterdam in 2022. They have faced each other twice this season, with Rublev prevailing in a third-set tiebreaker in Doha and 6-1, 6-4 on the red clay of Hamburg.
On the bright side for Auger-Aliassime, he has been outstanding so far this fortnight. The 27th-ranked Canadian defeated Billy Harris and Roman Safiullin without too much trouble and then upset world No. 3 Alexander Zverev 4-6, 7-6(7), 6-4, 6-4 on Saturday night. Rublev hasn’t been quite as sharp. After easing past Dino Prizmic, the 27-year-old Russian went to a fourth-set tiebreaker with Tristan Boyer and to five with Coleman Wong. Still, the head-to-head history is tough to look past and Rublev generally gets to the quarters at Grand Slams before he infamously hits the wall at that point.
Pick: Rublev in 5
(Q) Leandro Riedi vs. (8) Alex de Minaur
At No. 435 in the world, Riedi improbably finds himself in the last 16 of a major. The 23-year-old Swiss has been both lucky and good so far in New York. He successfully qualified for the main draw, coasted past Pedro Martinez 6-4, 6-2, 6-3, came back from two sets down to stun Francisco Cerundolo, and then got a first-set retirement from Kamil Majchrzak.
Riedi will try to continue his run against De Minaur, who is no stranger to the second week of slams. This is the eighth-ranked Aussie’s 13th fourth-round appearance (fifth at the U.S. Open) and he is bidding for his sixth quarterfinal trip (third at the U.S. Open). De Minaur has cruised so far at Flushing Meadows, dropping only one total set while ousting Christopher O’Connell, Shintaro Mochizuki, and Daniel Altmaier. This is obviously an unprecedented stage for Riedi, and it will be made even more difficult by the fact that he is going up against an opponent who gives you absolutely nothing for free.
Pick: De Minaur in 3
